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Superliga · Denmark
Aarhus vs Viborg
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.22
Best price found
1.17
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 82% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Aarhus 1.7, Viborg 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.22. Best price found: 1.17.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Aarhus1.68
Viborg1.27
Total 2.95 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 40% | 2.51 | 2.33 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | 3.52 |
| Away win | 35% | 2.89 | 2.67 |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| Draw or away | 60% | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 | 1.60 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 | 2.45 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.47 | 2.28 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| Not both teams score | 37% | 2.68 | 2.42 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.