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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
AD Camacha vs AD Sanjoanense
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
WonHome Over 0.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.3 (AD Camacha 1.9, AD Sanjoanense 1.5).
- Fair price: 1.19. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
AD Camacha1.85
AD Sanjoanense1.46
Total 3.31 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43% | 2.35 | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | 3.10 |
| Away win | 29% | 3.48 | 3.10 |
| Home or draw | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Draw or away | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Both teams score | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Not both teams score | 35% | 2.83 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.