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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
AD Os Limianos vs CD Celoricense
Full time: 3-2
Our pick
LostUnder 3.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.20
Take at least
1.26
- Our models: 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.1 (AD Os Limianos 1.2, CD Celoricense 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.20. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.26 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
AD Os Limianos1.17
CD Celoricense0.97
Total 2.14 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | 3.30 |
| Away win | 23% | 4.28 | 3.70 |
| Home or draw | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Draw or away | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.90 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Both teams score | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Not both teams score | 57% | 1.75 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.