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1. Division · Cyprus
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia
Our pick
78% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
78%
Fair price
1.29
Take at least
1.35
- Our models: 78%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 (AEK Larnaca 1.2, Omonia Nicosia 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.29. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.35 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
AEK Larnaca1.16
Omonia Nicosia1.25
Total 2.41 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 34% | 2.94 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | – |
| Away win | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Home or draw | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Draw or away | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.49 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.97 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.