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Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK vs IF Elfsborg
Our pick
80% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.26
Best price found
1.20
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 80% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 77%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (AIK 1.4, IF Elfsborg 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.26. Best price found: 1.20.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
AIK1.45
IF Elfsborg1.39
Total 2.83 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 30% | 3.32 | 3.06 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | 3.49 |
| Away win | 44% | 2.29 | 2.15 |
| Home or draw | 57% | 1.75 | 1.64 |
| Draw or away | 70% | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 | 2.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.66 | 1.56 |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.51 | 2.29 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.