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Segunda División · Spain

Albacete vs Eldense

Full time: 2-0

Our pick

Won

Over 1.5

Chance
78%
Fair price
1.28
Best price found
1.23
  • Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 78% (4 bookmakers).
  • Our models: 74% to 76%.
  • Expected goals: 2.7 (Albacete 1.6, Eldense 1.2).
  • Fair price: 1.28. Best price found: 1.23.

Published , before kick-off, and never changed.

Expected goals

Albacete1.55
Eldense1.17

Total 2.73 goals expected.

Chances by market

bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'
MarketChanceFair priceBest price
Home win42%2.362.20
Draw27%3.713.37
Away win31%3.262.99
Home or draw70%1.441.34
Draw or away58%1.741.61
Home or away73%1.371.28
Over 1.5 goals78%1.281.23
Over 2.5 goals54%1.861.77
Over 3.5 goals31%3.242.95
Under 2.5 goals46%2.162.04
Under 3.5 goals69%1.451.39
Both teams score58%1.721.61
Not both teams score42%2.392.19

A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.