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Liga Profesional · Argentina
Aldosivi vs Club Atlético Belgrano
Full time: 1-0
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 84% to 85%.
- Expected goals: 2.0 (Aldosivi 0.9, Club Atlético Belgrano 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Aldosivi0.89
Club Atlético Belgrano1.15
Total 2.05 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 27% | 3.68 | – |
| Draw | 32% | 3.11 | – |
| Away win | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Home or draw | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Draw or away | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Home or away | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.97 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.60 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Both teams score | 45% | 2.23 | 2.05 |
| Not both teams score | 55% | 1.81 | 1.70 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.