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National League · England
Altrincham vs Kidderminster
Our pick
77% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
77%
Fair price
1.29
Take at least
1.36
- Our models: 77%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 (Altrincham 1.4, Kidderminster 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.29. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.36 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Altrincham1.38
Kidderminster1.05
Total 2.43 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | 3.40 |
| Away win | 24% | 4.15 | 3.60 |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Draw or away | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.39 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.95 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.