← All predictions
Super League · Greece
Aris vs Atromitos
Full time: 3-1
Our pick
Won1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.23
Best price found
1.14
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 81% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 78%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 (Aris 1.5, Atromitos 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.23. Best price found: 1.14.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Aris1.47
Atromitos0.88
Total 2.35 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 57% | 1.74 | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | 3.66 |
| Away win | 18% | 5.53 | 4.80 |
| Home or draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| Draw or away | 43% | 2.33 | 2.16 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.90 | 3.41 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.82 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.04 | 1.89 |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.96 | 1.83 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.