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Serie B · Italy
Ascoli vs Sampdoria
Our pick
83% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Take at least
1.27
- Our models: 82% to 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Ascoli 1.3, Sampdoria 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.21. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.27 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Ascoli1.29
Sampdoria0.87
Total 2.17 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 41% | 2.43 | 2.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | 3.33 |
| Away win | 31% | 3.24 | 3.03 |
| Home or draw | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.75 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Both teams score | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Not both teams score | 57% | 1.76 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.