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Serie A · Italy
Atalanta vs Frosinone
Full time: 4-4
Our pick
Lost12 (Home/Away)
Chance
77%
Fair price
1.29
Best price found
1.21
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 77% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 81% to 82%.
- Expected goals: 3.4 (Atalanta 2.4, Frosinone 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.29. Best price found: 1.21.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Atalanta2.35
Frosinone1.01
Total 3.36 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 52% | 1.91 | 1.92 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.43 | 4.30 |
| Away win | 25% | 4.00 | 3.95 |
| Home or draw | 76% | 1.32 | 1.23 |
| Draw or away | 47% | 2.13 | 1.99 |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.96 |
| Both teams score | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Not both teams score | 32% | 3.09 | 2.78 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.