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National League North / South · England
Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town
Our pick
85% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 85%.
- Expected goals: 3.4 (Bedford Town 1.5, Hednesford Town 1.9).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Bedford Town1.49
Hednesford Town1.88
Total 3.37 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 31% | 3.26 | – |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 | – |
| Away win | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Home or draw | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Draw or away | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.90 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Both teams score | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Not both teams score | 34% | 2.92 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.