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NPFL · Nigeria
Bendel Insurance FC vs Rivers United
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
WonHT 1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 84% to 88%.
- Expected goals: 1.9 (Bendel Insurance FC 1.2, Rivers United 0.7).
- Fair price: 1.19. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Bendel Insurance FC1.23
Rivers United0.67
Total 1.90 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Draw | 31% | 3.23 | – |
| Away win | 20% | 5.07 | – |
| Home or draw | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Draw or away | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Home or away | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.97 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 | – |
| Both teams score | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Not both teams score | 65% | 1.54 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.