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National League · England
Boston Utd vs Gateshead
Our pick
83% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Best price found
1.15
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 83% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Boston Utd 1.7, Gateshead 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.21. Best price found: 1.15.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Boston Utd1.73
Gateshead1.22
Total 2.95 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 63% | 1.58 | 1.49 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 | 4.12 |
| Away win | 15% | 6.54 | 5.55 |
| Home or draw | 82% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Draw or away | 38% | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Home or away | 79% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | 2.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.47 | 2.24 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.78 | 1.66 |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.28 | 2.09 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.