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Primera A · Colombia
Boyacá Chicó FC vs Junior Barranquilla
Our pick
78% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
78%
Fair price
1.28
Best price found
1.22
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 78% (7 bookmakers).
- Our models: 75% to 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Boyacá Chicó FC 1.1, Junior Barranquilla 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.28. Best price found: 1.22.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Boyacá Chicó FC1.10
Junior Barranquilla1.41
Total 2.51 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 27% | 3.68 | 3.33 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | 3.27 |
| Away win | 45% | 2.22 | 2.07 |
| Home or draw | 55% | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| Draw or away | 73% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 | 2.12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.58 | 3.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.02 | 1.88 |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.98 | 1.84 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.