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First Division · Ireland
Bray vs Kerry
Our pick
86% chanceHome Over 0.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.23
- Our models: 86%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Bray 1.9, Kerry 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.23 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Bray1.94
Kerry1.06
Total 2.99 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 58% | 1.74 | – |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | – |
| Away win | 20% | 5.00 | – |
| Home or draw | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Draw or away | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.35 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.28 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.