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National League North / South · England
Buxton vs Harborough Town
Our pick
76% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
76%
Fair price
1.32
Take at least
1.39
- Our models: 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Buxton 1.3, Harborough Town 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.32. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.39 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Buxton1.32
Harborough Town1.19
Total 2.50 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | – |
| Away win | 33% | 3.00 | – |
| Home or draw | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Draw or away | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.12 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.04 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.