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Liga Profesional · Argentina
CA Independiente vs Boca Juniors
Full time: 0-1
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.16
Take at least
1.22
- Our models: 86%.
- Expected goals: 2.0 (CA Independiente 0.9, Boca Juniors 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.16. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.22 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
CA Independiente0.91
Boca Juniors1.07
Total 1.98 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 29% | 3.41 | – |
| Draw | 33% | 3.02 | – |
| Away win | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Home or draw | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Draw or away | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Home or away | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.20 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Both teams score | 45% | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Not both teams score | 55% | 1.82 | 1.71 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.