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Segunda División · Spain
Castellon vs Sporting Gijón
Full time: 4-0
Our pick
Won1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Best price found
1.11
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 84% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 78% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 2.9 (Castellon 1.8, Sporting Gijón 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.19. Best price found: 1.11.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Castellon1.83
Sporting Gijón1.05
Total 2.88 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 64% | 1.57 | 1.49 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.69 | 4.18 |
| Away win | 15% | 6.67 | 5.73 |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Draw or away | 37% | 2.67 | 2.49 |
| Home or away | 79% | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.68 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.95 | 2.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 | 2.16 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.90 | 1.76 |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.11 | 1.95 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.