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National League North / South · England
Chesham vs Farnham
Our pick
85% chanceHT Under 2.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 84% to 85%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Chesham 1.3, Farnham 1.7).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Chesham1.35
Farnham1.69
Total 3.03 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 31% | 3.26 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 | – |
| Away win | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Home or draw | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Draw or away | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.52 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.