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National League North / South · England
Chester vs Marine
Our pick
81% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.23
Take at least
1.29
- Our models: 81%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Chester 1.4, Marine 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.23. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.29 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Chester1.38
Marine0.86
Total 2.24 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | – |
| Away win | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Home or draw | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Draw or away | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.29 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Both teams score | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Not both teams score | 57% | 1.76 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.