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Liga MX · Mexico
Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna
Full time: 4-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Best price found
1.19
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 81% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 82% to 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.2 (Club Tijuana 2.0, Santos Laguna 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.24. Best price found: 1.19.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Club Tijuana2.02
Santos Laguna1.21
Total 3.23 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 48% | 2.11 | 1.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | 3.54 |
| Away win | 27% | 3.71 | 3.37 |
| Home or draw | 73% | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Draw or away | 52% | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | 2.57 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 | 2.18 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.66 | 1.56 |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.51 | 2.28 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.