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Série A · Brazil
Coritiba vs Grêmio
Our pick
75% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
75%
Fair price
1.33
Best price found
1.27
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 75% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 71%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Coritiba 1.3, Grêmio 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.33. Best price found: 1.27.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Coritiba1.34
Grêmio1.16
Total 2.49 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 45% | 2.21 | 2.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | 3.43 |
| Away win | 28% | 3.59 | 3.32 |
| Home or draw | 72% | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.59 | 3.22 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.21 | 2.04 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.