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Serie C · Italy
Crotone vs Casarano
Our pick
84% chanceHome Over 0.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.1 (Crotone 1.8, Casarano 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.19. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Crotone1.84
Casarano1.29
Total 3.13 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | – |
| Away win | 26% | 3.81 | – |
| Home or draw | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Draw or away | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Both teams score | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Not both teams score | 38% | 2.60 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.