← All predictions
First League · Bulgaria
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
Our pick
83% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Take at least
1.27
- Our models: 82% to 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (CSKA Sofia 1.1, Ludogorets 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.21. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.27 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
CSKA Sofia1.06
Ludogorets1.11
Total 2.17 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 34% | 2.96 | – |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | – |
| Away win | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Home or draw | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Draw or away | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.72 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Both teams score | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Not both teams score | 56% | 1.79 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.