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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
FC Alpendorada vs AD Castro Daire
Full time: 2-2
Our pick
LostUnder 3.5
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.22
Take at least
1.28
- Our models: 82%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (FC Alpendorada 1.1, AD Castro Daire 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.22. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.28 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
FC Alpendorada1.08
AD Castro Daire1.12
Total 2.20 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 2.02 | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | 3.20 |
| Away win | 23% | 4.35 | 3.75 |
| Home or draw | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Draw or away | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.53 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Both teams score | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Not both teams score | 56% | 1.80 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.