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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
FC Tirsense vs FC Maia Lidador
Full time: 3-5
Our pick
WonHT 1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Take at least
1.30
- Our models: 81%.
- Expected goals: 2.3 (FC Tirsense 1.4, FC Maia Lidador 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.24. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.30 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
FC Tirsense1.42
FC Maia Lidador0.89
Total 2.31 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 58% | 1.72 | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | 3.60 |
| Away win | 18% | 5.64 | 4.75 |
| Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Draw or away | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.94 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Both teams score | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Not both teams score | 56% | 1.80 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.