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Liga Portugal 2 · Portugal
Felgueiras vs Lusitania FC
Full time: 2-2
Our pick
LostUnder 3.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Best price found
1.19
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 80% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79%.
- Expected goals: 2.3 (Felgueiras 1.3, Lusitania FC 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.24. Best price found: 1.19.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Felgueiras1.26
Lusitania FC1.07
Total 2.33 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 37% | 2.67 | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | 2.99 |
| Away win | 32% | 3.08 | 2.79 |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Draw or away | 63% | 1.59 | 1.46 |
| Home or away | 69% | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 5.13 | 4.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.10 | 1.93 |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.91 | 1.77 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.