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National League · England
Fylde vs Hartlepool
Our pick
85% chanceHT Under 2.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 85%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Fylde 1.7, Hartlepool 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Fylde1.71
Hartlepool1.30
Total 3.00 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 55% | 1.82 | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | 3.80 |
| Away win | 21% | 4.69 | 4.17 |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Draw or away | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.47 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.