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Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce
Our pick
85% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Best price found
1.13
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 85% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 85% to 86%.
- Expected goals: 3.4 (Galatasaray 2.0, Fenerbahce 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.18. Best price found: 1.13.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Galatasaray2.02
Fenerbahce1.35
Total 3.38 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 44% | 2.28 | 2.15 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 | 3.74 |
| Away win | 32% | 3.16 | 2.94 |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.46 | 1.37 |
| Draw or away | 57% | 1.75 | 1.64 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | 2.60 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | 1.66 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 1.50 | 1.41 |
| Not both teams score | 33% | 2.99 | 2.66 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.