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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
GD Alcochetense vs FC Serpa
Full time: 3-1
Our pick
WonAway Over 0.5
Chance
76%
Fair price
1.31
Take at least
1.37
- Our models: 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (GD Alcochetense 1.1, FC Serpa 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.31. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.37 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
GD Alcochetense1.13
FC Serpa1.44
Total 2.57 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 44% | 2.29 | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | 3.10 |
| Away win | 28% | 3.61 | 3.20 |
| Home or draw | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Draw or away | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.89 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.94 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.06 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.