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Pro League · Belgium
Gent vs Anderlecht
Full time: 4-0
Our pick
LostUnder 3.5
Chance
74%
Fair price
1.35
Best price found
1.29
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 74% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 73%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Gent 1.4, Anderlecht 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.35. Best price found: 1.29.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Gent1.38
Anderlecht1.25
Total 2.64 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 40% | 2.48 | 2.33 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | 3.17 |
| Away win | 30% | 3.28 | 3.04 |
| Home or draw | 70% | 1.44 | 1.34 |
| Draw or away | 60% | 1.66 | 1.54 |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 | 3.45 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 1.86 | 1.74 |
| Not both teams score | 46% | 2.16 | 2.00 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.