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Superliga · Denmark
Horsens vs Sonderjyske
Full time: 5-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.26
Best price found
1.20
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 80% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 83% to 85%.
- Expected goals: 3.3 (Horsens 1.7, Sonderjyske 1.6).
- Fair price: 1.26. Best price found: 1.20.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Horsens1.70
Sonderjyske1.57
Total 3.27 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 39% | 2.55 | 2.36 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | 3.40 |
| Away win | 34% | 2.92 | 2.69 |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| Draw or away | 61% | 1.65 | 1.53 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.72 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.10 | 2.78 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | 2.07 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.47 | 2.25 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.