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Premier League · England
Hull City vs Brentford
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Best price found
1.19
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 81% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 81%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Hull City 1.0, Brentford 2.0).
- Fair price: 1.24. Best price found: 1.19.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Hull City1.01
Brentford2.02
Total 3.04 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 19% | 5.21 | 5.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| Away win | 58% | 1.74 | 1.73 |
| Home or draw | 44% | 2.29 | 2.14 |
| Draw or away | 80% | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | 2.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | 2.34 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.47 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.74 | 1.64 |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.35 | 2.17 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.