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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Wisła Płock
Full time: 1-0
Our pick
WonHT 1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.23
Take at least
1.29
- Our models: 81% to 82%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Jagiellonia Białystok 1.6, Wisła Płock 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.23. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.29 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Jagiellonia Białystok1.65
Wisła Płock0.95
Total 2.60 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | – |
| Away win | 20% | 4.89 | – |
| Home or draw | 80% | 1.26 | – |
| Draw or away | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.80 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.50 | 2.28 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.