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Série B · Brazil
Juventude vs Náutico
Our pick
84% chance1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Best price found
1.10
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 84% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 78%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 (Juventude 1.5, Náutico 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.19. Best price found: 1.10.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Juventude1.52
Náutico0.91
Total 2.42 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 63% | 1.58 | 1.48 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.46 | 3.93 |
| Away win | 14% | 7.11 | 5.94 |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| Draw or away | 38% | 2.63 | 2.43 |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 1.92 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.76 | 3.28 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.15 | 1.98 |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.