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Serie A · Italy
Lecce vs Juventus
Full time: 0-2
Our pick
Won12 (Home/Away)
Chance
79%
Fair price
1.27
Best price found
1.19
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 79% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 75% to 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Lecce 0.8, Juventus 1.7).
- Fair price: 1.27. Best price found: 1.19.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lecce0.77
Juventus1.71
Total 2.48 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 13% | 7.89 | 7.80 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 | 4.50 |
| Away win | 65% | 1.53 | 1.54 |
| Home or draw | 35% | 2.86 | 2.68 |
| Draw or away | 86% | 1.16 | 1.09 |
| Home or away | 79% | 1.27 | 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | 1.93 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.32 | 3.02 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 | 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.11 | 1.96 |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.90 | 1.78 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.