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Serie C · Italy
Lecco vs Folgore Caratese
Full time: 2-2
Our pick
WonHT 1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.22
Take at least
1.28
- Our models: 82% to 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 (Lecco 1.5, Folgore Caratese 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.22. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.28 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lecco1.52
Folgore Caratese0.86
Total 2.37 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | – |
| Away win | 20% | 4.89 | – |
| Home or draw | 80% | 1.26 | – |
| Draw or away | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.64 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.27 | – |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.84 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.