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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznań
Full time: 1-2
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.25
Best price found
1.20
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 80% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 74% to 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Legia Warszawa 1.3, Lech Poznań 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.25. Best price found: 1.20.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Legia Warszawa1.34
Lech Poznań1.34
Total 2.69 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 37% | 2.72 | 2.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | 3.40 |
| Away win | 37% | 2.72 | 2.50 |
| Home or draw | 63% | 1.58 | 1.47 |
| Draw or away | 64% | 1.56 | 1.45 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.68 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 | 2.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.43 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.66 | 1.56 |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.52 | 2.29 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.