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Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom vs Brann
Full time: 3-2
Our pick
Won12 (Home/Away)
Chance
75%
Fair price
1.32
Best price found
1.23
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 75% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 76% to 77%.
- Expected goals: 3.3 (Lillestrom 1.6, Brann 1.7).
- Fair price: 1.32. Best price found: 1.23.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lillestrom1.59
Brann1.67
Total 3.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 42% | 2.41 | 2.25 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | 3.73 |
| Away win | 34% | 2.92 | 2.70 |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.52 | 1.42 |
| Draw or away | 59% | 1.70 | 1.58 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.32 | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | 1.42 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 | 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 | 2.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.76 |
| Both teams score | 69% | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| Not both teams score | 31% | 3.18 | 2.84 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.