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Premier League · England
Liverpool vs Brighton
Full time: 2-0
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Best price found
1.13
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 85% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.3 (Liverpool 1.9, Brighton 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.18. Best price found: 1.13.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Liverpool1.92
Brighton1.34
Total 3.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 46% | 2.19 | 2.20 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | 4.00 |
| Away win | 30% | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| Home or draw | 70% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Draw or away | 54% | 1.84 | 1.72 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 | 2.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.60 |
| Both teams score | 65% | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| Not both teams score | 35% | 2.84 | 2.58 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.