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3. Liga · Germany
Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II
Full time: 4-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.16
Take at least
1.22
- Our models: 85% to 86%.
- Expected goals: 3.4 (Mannheim 1.8, Hoffenheim II 1.7).
- Fair price: 1.16. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.22 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Mannheim1.75
Hoffenheim II1.65
Total 3.41 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 | – |
| Away win | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Home or draw | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Draw or away | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.95 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Both teams score | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Not both teams score | 33% | 3.07 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.