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Serie B · Italy
Mantova vs Cremonese
Our pick
87% chanceUnder 4.5
Chance
87%
Fair price
1.15
Take at least
1.21
- Our models: 86% to 87%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Mantova 1.3, Cremonese 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.15. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.21 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Mantova1.31
Cremonese1.35
Total 2.66 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 39% | 2.56 | 2.42 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 | 3.29 |
| Away win | 33% | 3.08 | 2.89 |
| Home or draw | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Draw or away | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.60 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.22 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.