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Primera A · Colombia
Millonarios vs América de Cali
Our pick
81% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Take at least
1.30
- Our models: 80% to 81%.
- Expected goals: 2.3 (Millonarios 1.3, América de Cali 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.24. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.30 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Millonarios1.31
América de Cali0.96
Total 2.27 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | – |
| Away win | 26% | 3.80 | – |
| Home or draw | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Draw or away | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.15 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.85 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.