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Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF
Full time: 0-2
Our pick
WonX2 (Draw/Away)
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.20
Best price found
1.12
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 83% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 72%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Mjällby AIF 1.1, Hammarby IF 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.20. Best price found: 1.12.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Mjällby AIF1.05
Hammarby IF1.41
Total 2.46 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 15% | 6.54 | 5.57 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.98 | 4.37 |
| Away win | 65% | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| Home or draw | 37% | 2.71 | 2.52 |
| Draw or away | 83% | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Home or away | 80% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.60 | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 | 2.36 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.28 | 2.09 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.