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Eliteserien · Norway
Molde vs Fredrikstad
Full time: 5-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.16
Best price found
1.11
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 86% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Molde 2.0, Fredrikstad 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.16. Best price found: 1.11.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Molde1.96
Fredrikstad1.01
Total 2.96 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 65% | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.11 | 4.55 |
| Away win | 15% | 6.49 | 5.64 |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Draw or away | 36% | 2.78 | 2.60 |
| Home or away | 80% | 1.24 | 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.05 | 2.78 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 1.65 | 1.55 |
| Not both teams score | 39% | 2.54 | 2.31 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.