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Ligue 1 · France
Monaco vs Lille
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
77%
Fair price
1.30
Best price found
1.25
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 77% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 72% to 74%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Monaco 1.4, Lille 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.30. Best price found: 1.25.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Monaco1.38
Lille1.24
Total 2.62 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 46% | 2.16 | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 | 3.43 |
| Away win | 27% | 3.76 | 3.49 |
| Home or draw | 74% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Draw or away | 53% | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.21 | 2.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.39 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.33 | 2.15 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.