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National League North / South · England
Morecambe vs Darlington
Our pick
84% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 84% to 85%.
- Expected goals: 3.3 (Morecambe 2.2, Darlington 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Morecambe2.18
Darlington1.14
Total 3.32 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Draw | 20% | 4.97 | – |
| Away win | 19% | 5.29 | – |
| Home or draw | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Draw or away | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Home or away | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.18 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | – |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.52 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.