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Scottish Premiership · Scotland
Motherwell vs Hearts
Full time: 0-2
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Best price found
1.19
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 81% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 72% to 74%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Motherwell 1.2, Hearts 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.24. Best price found: 1.19.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Motherwell1.24
Hearts1.32
Total 2.56 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 31% | 3.25 | 3.01 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | 3.56 |
| Away win | 43% | 2.30 | 2.17 |
| Home or draw | 56% | 1.77 | 1.64 |
| Draw or away | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.91 | 2.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 1.64 | 1.54 |
| Not both teams score | 39% | 2.57 | 2.34 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.