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1. Division · Cyprus
Nea Salamis vs Pafos
Our pick
84% chanceHT Under 2.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.1 (Nea Salamis 0.8, Pafos 2.3).
- Fair price: 1.19. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Nea Salamis0.83
Pafos2.29
Total 3.13 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 12% | 8.40 | – |
| Draw | 18% | 5.56 | – |
| Away win | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Home or draw | 30% | 3.35 | – |
| Draw or away | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Home or away | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.04 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.